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Geopolitical tensions: There are currently several regional conflicts that have the potential to expand, such as the war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East (e.g. between Israel and Palestine) and conflicts in Asia (e.g. between China and Taiwan). Nuclear threat: The existence of nuclear weapons and the possibility of their use by states or non-state actors remains a serious threat. Nuclear deterrence has so far prevented major wars, but it also carries risks. Diplomacy and international cooperation: The role of international organizations such as the United Nations (UN) and efforts to find diplomatic solutions are crucial to de-escalate conflicts. Economic factors: Economic crises, scarcity of resources and inequality can exacerbate conflicts, but also create incentives for cooperation. Technological developments: cyberattacks, artificial intelligence and new weapons technologies